Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 6.017740 6.617139 7.278187 8.066589 8.988303 10.040586 11.345674
2024-10-27 4.999115 5.776547 6.701854 7.904050 9.455262 11.434942 14.232753
2024-11-03 4.428800 5.282971 6.351728 7.824308 9.864738 12.700960 17.165367
2024-11-10 4.213523 5.170293 6.422754 8.246009 10.954342 15.064404 22.348725
2024-11-17 3.960129 4.964683 6.326228 8.396662 11.653491 16.985486 27.531739
2024-11-24 3.664552 4.665423 6.056669 8.241988 11.833647 18.080184 31.637629
2024-12-01 3.431949 4.428974 5.846335 8.139025 12.063729 19.297625 36.550394
2024-12-08 3.210908 4.188987 5.604832 7.950900 12.106394 20.160197 41.093051
2024-12-15 3.053614 4.028074 5.465109 7.906691 12.390884 21.572709 47.929232
2024-12-22 2.917606 3.887774 5.343142 7.874419 12.686709 23.087773 56.205876
2024-12-29 2.842838 3.832933 5.348214 8.058051 13.430674 25.860679 71.392261
2025-01-05 2.688458 3.646636 5.128241 7.816533 13.266495 26.353630 78.376861
2025-01-12 2.529620 3.453070 4.896671 7.557007 13.082369 26.910711 87.397586
2025-01-19 2.402082 3.302591 4.727891 7.401648 13.113324 28.131027 102.312486
2025-01-26 2.301443 3.188174 4.610158 7.328841 13.316602 29.953685 125.151328
2025-02-02 2.286662 3.208848 4.721441 7.711129 14.666644 36.102764 204.233173
2025-02-09 2.232484 3.161713 4.710711 7.847486 15.451116 40.884573 309.514698
2025-02-16 2.141124 3.048124 4.574044 7.707487 15.488106 42.843990 399.211472
2025-02-23 2.063489 2.953390 4.464877 7.614224 15.636292 45.418108 549.497780
2025-03-02 1.980642 2.845993 4.326132 7.443681 15.538418 46.880353 716.405145
2025-03-09 1.921198 2.775358 4.250384 7.403577 15.811907 50.387055 1148.812707
2025-03-16 1.867089 2.711232 4.182619 7.374295 16.114941 54.366810 2118.563622
2025-03-23 1.840910 2.693621 4.200478 7.540841 17.065544 63.081622 9879.872805